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November 25, 2007

Comments

Bladerunner

Desperate times call for desperate measures for fading Fred. Operational definition of humiliation: Being in the position of having to attack the little engine from Arkansas that could in order to avoid being permanently relegated into the Post's second-tier ring of hell.

Vote for Hillary

Fred Thompson is a nice guy and all, but if you want a real candidate with real values, then check out Hillary Clinton. You won't be disappointed. We need some change in America and we need it now.

Jim

You're kidding, right? "Change in America" can only be accomplished by putting the Clintons back in the White House? And then Jeb Bush for two terms. By then Chelsea Clinton will be ready.

D. Morton

To cease a useless argument about which candidate is best: from a strategic perspective, Thompson did wait too long. However, this was not the fatal flaw in his campaign, but should rather be viewed as minor mistake that could have easily overcome. The reason that Thompson sunk from being a defiant representative of Reaganesque conservatism (remember the Cuban cigar fight with Michael Moore) to a non-starter was the same reason that he failed to make a big splash upon finally entering the race: he just doesn't have that much to say. This is the fatal flaw in his candidacy, not his delayed entry.

D. Morton

To cease a useless argument about which candidate is best: from a strategic perspective, Thompson did wait too long. However, this was not the fatal flaw in his campaign, but should rather be viewed as minor mistake that could have easily overcome. The reason that Thompson sunk from being a defiant representative of Reaganesque conservatism (remember the Cuban cigar fight with Michael Moore) to a non-starter was the same reason that he failed to make a big splash upon finally entering the race: he just doesn't have that much to say. This is the fatal flaw in his candidacy, not his delayed entry.

Chuck DeVore

Sen. Fred Thompson started too late? The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day.

At this time four years ago, the mass media crowned Vermont Gov. Howard Dean the Democrat’s nominee. Sen. Kerry came from behind to clean his clock.

In the first in the nation Iowa caucus, an ABC/Washington Post poll shows Thompson in third, AHEAD of Giuliani and McCain. In South Carolina, the Rasmussen poll shows Thompson and Romney tied for first. Most national polls show Thompson in second, behind Giuliani.

As for former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, I’m not too worried that he will be the nominee of a party that was seriously burned by an overspending Congress and President in the 2006 elections. Bob Novak’s headline in his column today says it all: Huckabee, the False Conservative (see: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2007/11/huckabee_the_false_conservativ.html). In the piece, Novak writes,

There is no doubt about Huckabee's record during a decade in Little Rock as governor. He was regarded by fellow Republican governors as a compulsive tax increaser and spender. He increased the Arkansas tax burden by 47 percent, boosting the levies on gasoline and cigarettes. When he decided to lose 100 pounds and pressed his new lifestyle on the American people, he was far from a Goldwater-Reagan libertarian.

But Huckabee simply does not fit in normal boundaries of economic conservatism, as when he criticized President Bush's veto of a Democratic expansion of the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP). Calling global warming a "moral issue" mandating "a biblical duty" to prevent climate change, he has endorsed the cap-and-trade system that is anathema to the free market.

Quin Hillyer, a former Arkansas journalist writing in the conservative American Spectator, called Huckabee "a guy with a thin skin, a nasty vindictive streak."


There is plenty of time for true conservatives to get a full understanding of Huckabee’s record and take another look at Sen. Fred Thompson.

Meanwhile, the two leading GOP candidates with moderate records are beginning to bash each other. Mayor Rudy Giuliani is properly going after Governor Mitt Romney’s record in Massachusetts (see: Rudy: It's time to unmask Romney at http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1107/7029.html). Politico.com picks up the story in New Hampshire:

In a big strategic shift, Rudy Giuliani hammered Mitt Romney’s record Sunday on three fronts, saying it was time to “take the mask off and take a look at what kind of governor was he.”

Using some of the toughest language of his campaign, Giuliani, in an interview with Politico, slammed Romney on health care, crime and taxes. At the same time he portrayed the one-time moderate as a hypocrite on a host of social issues who lives “in a glass house.” It was easily the most sweeping attack Giuliani has delivered against Romney in this campaign.

“He throws stones at people,” Giuliani said in an interview on his campaign bus. “And then on that issue he usually has a worse record than whoever he’s throwing stones at.”


The net effect on the growing intensity of attack between Giuliani and Romney will be to highlight that both candidates have moderate mixed records that give the Republican conservative base pause. As Huckabee becomes better known as a big-spending, big-taxing, social conservative, look for Senators Thompson and McCain to benefit.

Time will tell. But my bet is that all those early polls will mean little by the time the actual voting and caucusing starts happening.

All the best,

Chuck DeVore
State Assemblyman, 70th District
www.ChuckDeVore.com

P.S. To help Fred Thompson's campaign, see:
https://www.fred08.com/contribute.aspx?RefererID=e09fdee2-4f86-4775-9fc3-fccd8dafdb78

Jim Lacy

Yes, he did get in too late. And it had a lot to do with his residual payments.

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