It's Predictions Time!

It's time for that venerable Red County/OC Blog Election Day tradition: predictions!

Instead of a single winner for the greatest number of accurate predictions, this time the contest will be broken down by campaign. Whoever comes closest to the actual vote percentages wins a prize. Remember, you're prediction must go at least one decimal place, and the contest closes at 8:00 p.m.

Here are the campaigns you can enter predictions for -- and the lovely prizes you can win!:

Measure M: The winner will receive a box of bubble-gum cigarettes to enjoy at any county beach.

The 5th Supervisor District -- Bates v. DeYoung: the winner will receive this Marie Antionette Action Figure.

Measure X: Correctly predict the outcome and win this set of Cold War Unicorns!

   

 

34th Senate District -- Correa v. Daucher (and you have to include Otto Bade's percentage): a fearsome Dashboard Ninja set.

47th Congressional District: Sanchez v. Nugyen: This fiery set of Cockatil Demons!

 

Predictions are now open!

Comments

[Mark Brainard]

Let's hope my luck continues:
Measure M 65% Yes 30% No
Bates 58 % DeYoung 40%
Measure X-Haven't followed
Correa 48% Daucher 44% Blade less than 2%
Sanchez 68% Nguyen 20%

[Al Bundy]

Measure M: Passes 67.2 to 32.8

DeYoung wins: 42.4 to 47.6

Daucher wins: 51.4 to 45.8 (Bade, 2.8)

Sanchez barely wins: 52.7 to 47.3

[redperegrine]

Measure M: Yes 63.0 No 37.0

Bates: 57.6 DeYoung: 42.4

Correa: 49.8 Daucher 47.3 Bade 2.9

Sanchez: 60.1 Our Man Tan: 39.9

[lucky#seven]

Measure M: Yes 59.0 No 41.0

Bates: 55 DeYoung: 45

Correa: 51 Daucher 46 Bade 3

Sanchez: 64 Our Man Tan: 36

[Allan Bartlett]

Measure M: Yes 62.4 No 37.6

Bates: 54.3 DeYoung: 45.7

Correa: 45.2 Daucher 49.8 Bade 5.0

Sanchez: 51.5 Tan: 45.9

Powder Blue Report

Measure M 67% Yes 33% No
Bates 58 % DeYoung 40%
Correa 51% Daucher 45.5% Blade 3.5%
Sanchez 50% Nguyen 49%

Ipolitico

[Hornet]

Measure M 54% Yes 46% No
Bates 56% DeYoung 44%
Correa 51% Daucher 49% Bade .01
Sanchez 60% Nguyen 39% The other 1% are confused.

[Bill Braski]

I REALLY HOPE I WIN THE COLD WAR UNICORNS OR THE COCKTAIL DEMONS!!!!

Measure M: Yes 69.3% No 30.7%

Measure X: Yes 45.2% No 54.8%

Bates: 55.1% DeYoung: 44.9%

Correa: 48.4% Daucher 46.6% Bade 4.0%

Sanchez: 71.6% Tan: 28.4%

[Roastedredpeppers]

Measure M: Yes 66.3% No 33.7%

Measure X: Yes 48.8% No 51.2%

Bates: 55.8% DeYoung: 44.2%

Correa: 49.6% Daucher 45.0% Bade 4.4%

Sanchez: 72.4% Tan: 27.6%

[Yo Mama]

Measure M: Yes 56.3% No 42.7%

Measure X: No Clue, Did not follow

Bates: 46.4% DeYoung: 53.6%

Correa: 50.2% Daucher 48.6% Bade 1.2%

Sanchez: 72.1% Tan: 28.9%

[Publius2]

Measure M: Yes 63 No 37
Measure X: don't even know what this one is about
Bates 59 De Young 41
Correa 53 Daucher 45 Bade 2
Sanchez 74 Nguyen 26

[Quang]

Measure M 64.2% Yes 32.8% No
Bates 55.4 % DeYoung 43.6%

Daucher 47.7% Correa 46.7% Blade 2.8%

Sanchez 51.5% Nguyen 46.5%

47th CD registration: DEM 42.6% REP 37.1% DTS 16.7% AI 1.7%

Anticipate a high Vietnamese voter turnout with all of the radio ads and Vietnamese-American Voter Guide. The daughter of the former VP of South Vietnam (Air Marshall Ky) and the most recognized personality in Little Saigon went on Vietnamese-language radio last week to support Tan. http://www.vietbao.com/?ppid=45&pid=5&nid=97340

See ya'll in Westminster and at the Irvine Hyatt tonight!

[Mohawk Man]

The Vietnamese votes will decide the victor in the 34th Senate and a large turned-out will carry many Vietnamese-American candidates into local offices.

[Luis Rodriguez]

Measure M: Yes 58.7% No 41.3%
Bates 53.00 De Young 47.0%
Daucher 39% Correa 52% Bade 9%
Nguyen 31% Sanchez 69%

[Mark Leyes]

Measure M: Yes 61.3%; No 38.7%
5th: Bates 52.7%; DeYoung 46.3%
Measure X: Yes 47.1%; No 52.9%
34th: Daucher 48.1%; Correa 46.8%; Bade 4.5%
47th: Sanchez 59.6%; Nguyen 38.4%

...And, for a tie-breaker, 0.0000001% for John Moorlach for State Treasurer !

[Hornet]

Left off my Measure X. 65% Yes 35% No

[Bill Braski]

Does this mean that I win the Cold War unicorns? Thats what I was really going for!!!

[Jubal]

Claudio Gallegos sent these to me yesterday afternoon and asked me to post them for him, whioch I forgot to do:

Measure M- Yes- 67.3% No- 32.7%

Supervisor, 5th District- Bates- 54.8% DeYoung- 45.2%

Measure X- Yes- 48.9% No- 51.1%

34th SD- Correa- 51.8% Daucher- 45.8% Bade- 2.4%

47th CD- Sanchez- 65.5% Nguyen- 34.5%