Daucher & Correa, Neck and Neck

The latest results in the 34th SD were just posted by the OC Registrar of Voters, and Lynn Daucher and Lou Corrrea each have 50%. Daucher is actually ahead by just 13 votes. That is with 361 of 377 precincts reporting.

Wow. That's tight.

I overheard at the OC GOP election night party there are on the order of 20,000 uncounted absentee ballots. I don't know if these are now being counted and reported along with the precinct results. But given how heavily the absentees broke for Daucher, the number 20,000 is a comforting one to Team Daucher as the election day votes narrow the gap between her and Correa.

It's going to be a late night for both campaigns, both of which I'm sure have people camped out at the OC Registrar's until this is over.

Comments

[Mark Leyes]

Now it shows all 377 of 377 precincts reporting and Daucher is still just 13 votes ahead. Good point about the uncounted absentees - if she only gets half the margin as the original batch (heck, if they split them down the middle) she will win.

Note that Lynn was NEVER behind. Quite impressive!

[Publius2]

Sorry to rain on your Daucher parade, Mark, but recent OC electoral history in this area shows that "late" absentees trend toward Dems. Democrats tend to mail in their ballot with no time to spare. They also are more likely to drop it off on election day.
I'm not making any predictions, but this will likely go to provisionals, and maybe a recount.

[Been Around]

Late ABs tend to mirror the Election Day vote, while provisionals tend to favor DEMs.
Don't be surprised if Correa wins by 50 or so votes when it is all said and done.

[Andrew Davey]

Wow, 6:16, you've really "been around". I personally saw the good turnout in Santa Ana yesterday... And it's quite likely that many of those folks in Santa Ana were in line to turn in a late AV or cast a provisional ballot. Correa's no stranger of hard-fought close races, and I think he'll very narrowly pull through in the end.

In the meantime, all of us just have to be patient.

[Ryan Gene]

Santa Ana didn't have a good turnout yesterday.

Compared to previous elections, Santa Ana had its worst turnout in recent memory.