Left Blogosphere On CA-48 Election: Hitting The Road To Dreamland

Political Dogfight proprietor Stuart O'Neill, when not dissing OC Blog on Daily Kos, is spinning a political fantasy entitled "Steve Young Gets Elected To Congress":

Steve Young has more than a long shot at CA-48

Yesterday, DavidNYC, from SwingStateProject put the race on the frontpage of DailyKos and at last count before DKos crashed we had 128 comments. Of course the crash had to happen while we were red hot! :))

One of the solid House analyst's is Superribbie [This won't be available until dKos is back up] and his analysis of the race, based on pure mathematics, (assuming a voting pattern similar to the Primary), showed  us coming in with 41%, Campbell 39% and Gilchrist 20%.

My personal analysis is a little different as I think Gilchrist will score better changing the numbers. But we are on TV this weekend and Monday/Tuesday as well as having our live figures, like on the website, in the OC Register! Those figures drive a tremendous amount of traffic to the site.

What do we need today, Saturday? We need even more cash. While the last FEC report hasn't showed the Net contributions, which have really poured in the last 11 days, the more we can raise this weekend the more confident we are in increasing our Media (TV and Newspaper) buys right up to 8 PM Tuesday when the polls close! So whether the cash can reach us that fast isn't the issue. The issue is that the cash is in the pipeline!

So dig deep readers and do your best to support this worthy candidate with your hard earned money.

You can read the rest here.

Still, I give Young credit for coming up with an intriguing proposal for regularizing the flow of illegal immigrants and generating federal revenues from it. I don't think it's practicable, but at least it's original.

And we can at least look forward to being liberated from that accursed cyber-Steve haunting the OC Register website.

Comments

[Robbie Haglund]

Come Wednesday morning, the "analyst" who came up with those figures should be out of a job. "Based on pure mathematics" he has found that John Campbell, who got 46% of the vote in the primary, while running against 8 other republicans, will take 39% of the vote on Tuesday?!

Let me get this straight, Campbell is losing 7% of the vote he got in the primary and not receiving any votes from the other 8 Republican candidates who lost?

Now maybe this is because I'm in my first year of community college and haven't had a chance to take "Creative Mathematics" yet, but it seems a little off to me.

This is the kind of math that Democrats do. This is why it is not a good idea to put them in charge of anything important.

[Phil Paule]

Jim Gilchrist must have passed his Bong to Steve Young during the KFI debate, if Young thinks he has a chance.

[Raymond]

I not going to vouch for the math, but simply put, there is a possibility John Campbell will not match his level of support in the primary. The Gilchrist TV and radio ads hit the airwaves only 2 weeks before the primary election, thus most absentee ballot voters were not aware of who Gilchrist was exactly before voting early. This time around, they do, particularly with a rather widespread round 2 of Gilchrist ads all over talk radio and Gilchrist making a good number of recent appearances on Fox News, CNN, KFI, Hannity, etc.

By now, everyone has questions about Campbell's sincerity about fighting illegal immigration, and if he will even consider standing up to Bush against his guestworker/amnesty plans (doubtful). So it comes down to if illegal immigration is an important issue among most voters (if not, Campbell fares better; but if so, Gilchrist should make gains), and how many are motivated to vote. If voter participation is high, the Campbell percentage of the vote goes down. Really, I don't think anyone can tell right now.

[Robbie Haglund]

There were 8 other Republicans running against Campbell when he got 46%. That means 8 other people with an "R" next to their names. You really don't think it will make a difference at the polls when people get in the booth and see an R next to Campbell and no one else? You don't even think it will make enough of a difference for Campbell to keep his 46%? Wow...

People who don't keep up with politics the way we do still vote. There will be many who go to the polls and simply mark next to the Republican.

Of the people who have been keeping up with the race, they may be doubting that Campbell will be tough on illegal immigration, but they are also doubting Jim Gilchrist's sanity.

Somehow, to you, this adds up to Campbell getting less than 46%?! That is insane. And we will see just how insane it is by tomorrow morning at the latest.

I'm going to vote right now for Campbell (as four family members and my significant other already have). Good look 3rd party wackos.

[JozefColomy]

Phil, I like how "Bong" was capitalized, as though Uncle Jimmy actually named his bong "Bong".

Regardless, I like Steve Young's optimism and the fact that he isn't afraid to talk about things aside from immigration...that "debate" was a joke, especially with the 15-minuteman ceaselessly changing the subject back to immigration. Mad props to Steve Young for confronting Uncle Jimmy on that. Thumbs down to "Jon With Ken", as the show should be called, for not actually hosting a real debate, as advertised, and for allowing the "Check out my new naked-chick mud-flaps" audience to be so vocally in favor of JimG and not even giving Steve Young proper respect, or even voice.

Regardless, John Campbell wins with 69%...no way JimG actually took votes from Senator Campbell, when JimG was the only opponent of Campbell's who looked more stupid this time around than the first time.